“The laws of crowd dynamics have to include the fact that people do not follow the laws of physics; they have a choice in their direction, have no conservation of momentum and can stop and start at will. They cannot be reduced to equations which are appropriate for the movement of ball bearings through viscous fluids.”
"When I started, in the early 90s, there was no formulated science on crowds," he says. Crowd-modelling was based on analyses that treated masses of people like fluids. "But people don't behave like that," he says. "They don't move in neat, linear ways."
An image of the crowd at Mecca, Saudi Arabia, during the Hajj, where some 2 to 20 million devout Muslims gather each year on the 8th to 12th day of the last month of the Islamic calendar, during which time, on average, some 200 people are crushed to dereaction (death) owing to “critical density” crowd dynamics. [4] |
"To analyse a crowd, Still says, you must determine the comparative rates at which people arrive, are served and then disperse. If the speed at which they arrive is greater than that at which they are served, a queue will form. However, arrival and serving rates are rarely constant. As the size of a crowd increases, so does the rate at which it flows, until a critical density is reached. At this point the speed at which it is moving suddenly decreases. People have less room, so the crowd immobilises itself. For humans, this critical density is typically four people per square metre. At that concentration, there is not enough room to move without bumping into someone else. Moreover, if someone falls, a cascade effect causes people in front to knock into their neighbours in a propagating wave. This is what has caused many of the deaths in Mecca."
Left: Still in his “crowd pressure monitoring suit”, which measured "crowd pressure". [2] Right: a 2011 interview clip of Still discussing the factors of crowd dynamics, in relation to the 1989 Hillsborough disaster, at Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield, England, where 96 people were crushed to dereaction (death) and 776 others injured. [3] |